IndiaMetSky

The season of rains that brings excitement and joy to every India and the backbone of Indian Agriculture is looked upon with high hopes and expectations and brings all types of emotions during its four month long season, The Indian Summer Monsoon or better known as SouthWest Monsoon is set to begin on a extremely pleasant and intense note for season 2025. Initial Outlook on Monsoon Drivers • ENSO: ENSO index is likely to remain neutral during the entire southwest monsoon 2025 season. This play an important factor in driving the overall rainfall. This reflects the La-nina conditions and they are likely to stay in neutral to low La-nina conditions • IOD: Indian Ocean Dipole will remain neutral and it may become positive by season end but there will not be much effect on the monsoon performance and this will increase the overall rainfall, overall base conditions supports chances of excessive rainfall. •SST: Sea surface temperatures seen favorable for the entire season and they don't i...

 The Northern Plains of India have seen various colours of Monsoons 2024. The season started with a fierce thunderstorm which dumped 228mm of Rains within a short time frame of just 6 hours at Safdarjung observatory in Delhi. The weather has been of various shades across the Indo Gangetic Plains this monsoon!  Various parts of the IGPs and Punjab saw a large deficit in rainfall quantum till August end and Western Rajasthan, Delhi and Core Monsoon Zone and Western Coast of India have received significant rainfall this season, taking the tally into surplus rains. Month of September sees large scale changes weakening of Monsoon drivers and Autumn begins to set in and crops stand ready for harvest but this year this cycle is interrupted and we are likely to see a delayed monsoon withdrawal and a WD + Depression/WML interactions will bring flooding rains and crop damage over a large part of Northern Plains. A Depression formed over Bay of Bengal around 5-7th is moving toward NorthW...

The four month long rainy season brings joy to every Indian each year after a long period of summer dread however this year The Northern India saw extreme summers due to absence of any proper pre-monsoon rains which coupled with a strong anti-cyclonic circulation bough extreme heat and dryness across the entire North West. The all hopes on the monsoon during the month of July dashed, faltering the excitement of that "much anticipated relief". The month started on a superb note as onset spell dumped 228mm of rains within 4 hours at Safdarjung in Delhi and good heavy spells in other areas of Haryana, Punjab and Rajasthan during the first week of July. The weather became excessively humid and hot and on the other hand isolated rains kept the humid high across the entire region and raising the real feel index upto mid 40s and even 50s on many occasions. The axis of monsoon trough stayed south of its normal position. Places like Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra s...

  The plains of Northern India have been witnessing a poor pre-monsoon and normal hot and dry weather from quite some time with occurrence of scattered dust storms and thunderstorms following few moderately active WDs which were affecting the region on few occasions following long dry lull phases. The weather is once again set to become dry and hot following a prolong severe but proper heatwave which is expected to affect the region from Friday. Weather synopsis  • Weak Western Disturbance (WD): There is a weak WD which will bring only isolated light rain/drizzles coupled with localized instability in parts of North Rajasthan, South Punjab, Haryana and Delhi till 21st May. There are 2 more weak WD which will affect the region after this one however they all will be suppressed due to a Anti-CC. • Anti-CC: A high pressure/ Anti Cyclonic Circulation over West-Central-West India will make the air sink as these systems suppresses rising air, there will be limited t-storms to no t-...

  The weather has been dry and hot since past few week and absence of any proper spring rains in the plains of North India has landed the region in large rainfall deficit for the pre-monsoon 2024 but a moderately active WD is expected to affect the region from the afternoon of 10th May into late evening of 12th May. Lets dive further into the details of this event. Weather synopsis  • A moderately active WD: A WD of magnitude (7/10) (Western Disturbance) with a mild dip in upperlevel trough • Induce CC: A induced Cyclonic Circulation will develop over Bikaner and adjoining North & North Central Rajasthan • Pre-Monsoon trough: Weak Pre-Monsoon trough will act as a boundary where the thunderstorms will develop over and along • Dual Moisture Feed: Adequate moisture supply from the Bay of Bengal by the cool and moist Southeasterly and by the Southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea Action and sync of these weather systems • A moderately active WD is set to interaction with th...

Pre-monsoon rains have been missing in the northern plains since a very long time and weak WD's have also failed to bring any significant rains in the plains due to which the region is reporting a large rainfall deficit in the spring rainfall however the first heatwave of the season has not been observed in the region but temperature have touched the 40°C on some occasions. Now, the first heatwave of the season has started to settle in the plains of North India.  The dry and hot weather was beating hard in East India from a long time. The dynamics have turned favorable for on/off Nor'westers (Kal'baisakhi) spells as LWD, High moisture, Heat, enhanced lifting in the lower atmosphere will allow back to back t-storm almost on every evening for a 7-10 days The first heatwave of the north will last for a short duration with a surprise of cooling and rains by the weekend, lets dive deep into the which all places will heat up and which will cool down. Weather Synopsis • Flow of dr...