Rainy start to a new week in North India

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SouthWest Monsoon 2021 covered many parts of Northwest India with heavy showers between 11-14th July.

Many places got above 100mm rainfall and some remained completely dry.

Forecast failed for 10th, 11th, 12th July it seemed like rains are not in mood of drenching Delhi & Ncr, Haryana region. Though these places got banger rains on 13,14,15 with few areas getting nothing 

Now lets talk about upcoming wet spell

Weather Synoptic features
•Moist Easterlies flow over the Foothills 
•Moist SW'lies flow over Northern plains
•Western arm of monsoon trough shifting Northward (Elongated Low pressure region)
•Good moisture feeding in presence of Axis Monsoon trough 
•East-West Shear zone to stay over peninsular India 

Influence of these Wx features over Northern Plains

🔸️UttarPradesh: Moderate to heavy rain with Isolated Very Heavy spells and passing thundershower at many places along with gusty winds 20-30km/h from afternoon-evening of 17th July till morning-afternoon of 20th July

🔸️Delhi, Haryana, Ncr, East Rajasthan, West UttarPradesh: Majority to get Moderate-Heavy Spells along with thunder and gusty winds 20-40 km/h mainly from late afternoon of 18th July till morning of 20th July. Rainfall will not be continuous. Usually clouds will form in Morning-Afternoon and expand 

🔸️Rest of Haryana, Punjab, Himachal and East-Central Rajasthan: On/off Scattered Moderate spells along with one-two isolated heavy spell from 18th July into evening of 20th July 

🔸️Foothills, Uttarakhand, Himachal, Jammu: Moderate to Heavy Rain with isolated Very Heavy spells at some places between 18/19 July, Flood inevitable in few areas

Rainfall Distribution 

Note some places can get above-less rainfall as indicated in the presentation

Rainfall/Thunderstorm Probability 


17th July 2021
18th July 2021
18th July 2021
*Note
More Accurate Forecast, Nowcast will be posted at IndiaMetSky Facebook and twitter handle


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